Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.262245 0.308829 0.364271 0.435982 0.527567 0.642421 0.800315
2025-01-19 0.191586 0.246944 0.321616 0.433136 0.601921 0.859748 1.310283
2025-01-26 0.155657 0.214017 0.300341 0.444610 0.696382 1.156844 2.184593
2025-02-02 0.133911 0.193587 0.288570 0.462921 0.808053 1.557861 3.733738
2025-02-09 0.117575 0.176813 0.276809 0.475304 0.914258 2.036571 6.347008
2025-02-16 0.105742 0.164458 0.268759 0.490846 1.035843 2.678151 11.392942
2025-02-23 0.095664 0.152984 0.259252 0.499674 1.147766 3.437509 20.923364
2025-03-02 0.087026 0.142475 0.249099 0.503488 1.250491 4.332633 40.195181
2025-03-09 0.079278 0.132340 0.237544 0.500231 1.332423 5.309542 80.390687
2025-03-16 0.072082 0.122213 0.224087 0.488140 1.380170 6.245412 163.653059
2025-03-23 0.068145 0.117859 0.222150 0.506096 1.552920 8.476062 669.772089
2025-03-30 0.062714 0.109816 0.210619 0.493822 1.599791 9.982607 2614.037261
2025-04-06 0.059048 0.105048 0.206062 0.501787 1.750065 13.281337 186576.904369
2025-04-13 0.054976 0.098986 0.197548 0.495464 1.833722 16.505444 NaN
2025-04-20 0.052338 0.095661 0.195114 0.508267 2.035349 23.465777 NaN
2025-04-27 0.050346 0.093488 0.195168 0.529849 2.320046 36.665949 NaN
2025-05-04 0.048218 0.090766 0.193364 0.544567 2.589773 57.066848 NaN
2025-05-11 0.046412 0.088562 0.192565 0.563155 2.925293 97.239324 NaN
2025-05-18 0.044463 0.085822 0.189881 0.573736 3.226536 165.693230 NaN
2025-05-25 0.042483 0.082809 0.185991 0.578312 3.495350 286.425484 NaN
2025-06-01 0.040415 0.079396 0.180486 0.574400 3.687376 480.172390 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038218 0.075490 0.173062 0.559899 3.754409 722.494534 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037184 0.074301 0.173437 0.581442 4.297406 2567.198551 NaN